Hi ZS, assuming that whether not really one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, in either case?) is independent from winning or losing on various other scratch ticket, you treat each event as a separate event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent gatherings. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. So then the probabilities of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets in a row (if that maybe what your issue is asking) must be (2/3)^30 = approximately 0.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 coming from 10 million, which amounts to 1 chance out of 192,307.
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